2012年11月13日星期二

Bananas could replace potatoes in warming world


Climate adjust could bring about crops from the banana loved ones becoming a critical food supply for countless individuals, a brand new report says.

Researchers from the CGIAR agricultural partnership say the fruit could possibly replace potatoes in some establishing nations.

Cassava as well as the little-known cowpea plant can be considerably more essential food crops as temperatures rise.

People will have to adapt to new and varied menus as standard crops struggle, say the authors.

Responding to a request from the United Nations' committee on planet food safety, a group of professionals in the field looked in the projected effects of climate
adjust on 22 of the world's most important agricultural commodities.

Blooming bananas

They predict that the world's three greatest crops with regards to calories supplied - maize, rice and wheat - will decrease in numerous establishing countries.

They suggest that the potato, which grows very best in cooler climates, could also suffer as temperatures increase and weather becomes far more volatile.

The authors argue that these modifications "could present an opening for cultivating specific varieties of bananas" at greater altitudes, even in those locations that
presently develop potatoes.

Dr Philip Thornton is 1 of these behind the report. He told BBC News that although bananas and plantains also have limiting components, they might be an excellent
substitute for potatoes in certain places.

"It's not necessarily a silver bullet, but there could be areas exactly where as temperatures increase, bananas could be a single solution that small-holders could begin to
look at."

The report describes wheat as the world's most significant plant-derived protein and calorie supply.

But in accordance with this research, wheat will face a difficult future in the creating planet, exactly where larger rates for cotton, maize and soybeans have pushed
wheat to marginal land, generating it extra vulnerable to stresses induced by climate alter.

A single substitute, specifically in South Asia, may be cassava - which can be recognized to become tolerant to a range of climate stresses.

But how uncomplicated will it be to obtain people today to adjust to new crops and new diets?

Bruce Campbell is programme director of the Climate Alter, Agriculture and Food Security research group ( CCAFS) which co-ordinates operate amongst leading
institutions around the world. He told BBC News that the forms of alterations that can come about in the future have currently happened previously.

Protein under pressure

"Two decades ago there was pretty much no rice consumption in particular regions of Africa, now there exists. People have altered due to the pricing: it is simpler to
get, it's simpler to cook. I consider those kind of shifts do happen and I assume they will in future."

One particular with the large issues among researchers is tips on how to tackle the want for protein within the diet plan. Soybeans are a single from the most frequent sources but are very
susceptible to temperature adjustments.

The scientists say that the cowpea, which is known in sub-Saharan Africa because the "poor man's meat" is drought-tolerant and prefers warmer climate and could be
a reasonable alternative to soya. The vines from the cowpea may also be applied as a feed for livestock.

In some countries, such as Nigeria and Niger, farmers have currently moved away from cotton production to growing cowpeas.

You'll find also most likely to become developments in animal protein sources says the report, like a shift to smaller livestock.

"This is an example of something that is taking place already, " mentioned Dr Campbell. "There's been very a shift from cattle keeping to goat keeping in southern
Africa in face of droughts - once the farmers see the complications they can be obtaining with production, they definitely are willing to shift.

"Change is truly achievable. It's not just a crazy notion."

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